Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.