MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:34:26| >> :60:1490:1490:
New York Red Bulls
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 3, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Columbus Crew

NY Red Bulls
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Vanzeir (64'), Forsberg (80' pen.)
Carballo (49'), Nealis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arfsten (55'), Ramirez (90+6')
Camilo Hernandez (90')
NY Red Bulls win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs

Columbus Crew

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-2 Columbus Crew

 While New York Red Bulls are essentially defending an advantage here, Columbus Crew must throw caution to the wind if not in a winning position. However, that may benefit them, to a certain extent, and it leaves us predicting a crucial away success for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawColumbus Crew
40.21% (-0.779 -0.78) 24.18% (0.203 0.2) 35.61% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.886 -0.89)41.92% (0.883 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.896 -0.9)64.33% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)20.98% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (-1.167 -1.17)53.75% (1.166 1.17)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)23.31% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-0.143 -0.14)57.25% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 40.21%
    Columbus Crew 35.61%
    Draw 24.18%
New York Red BullsDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.21%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew

New York Red Bulls
5.9%
Draw
29.4%
Columbus Crew
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 10.45pm
MLS Cup Round One
Columbus Crew
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Arfsten (57')
Carballo (25')
Forsberg (45+1'), Eile (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
NY Red Bulls
2-3
Columbus Crew
Forsberg (78', 87' pen.)
Schwarz (36'), Ngoma (89')
Jackson (2'), Cheberko (14'), Amundsen (90+7')
Jones (35'), Arfsten (45+2'), Amundsen (47')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Camilo Hernandez (13'), Russell-Rowe (56'), Morris (66')
Camilo Hernandez (45'), Nagbe (83')

Edelman (28'), Burke (68'), Duncan (74')
Edelman (90+6')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Camilo Hernandez (19'), Yeboah (62')
Schulte (63'), Zawadzki (71')
Manoel (38')
Edelman (33'), Amaya (82'), Coronel (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Columbus Crew
Luquinhas (58'), Vanzeir (86')
Matan (33')
> Preview
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