Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
36.5% ( 0.05) | 26.1% ( -0.08) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.4% ( 0.34) | 50.6% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( 0.3) | 72.51% ( -0.3) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( 0.19) | 26.84% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% ( 0.25) | 62.14% ( -0.25) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.67% ( 0.18) | 26.33% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.53% ( 0.23) | 61.47% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |