Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Marseille |
26.53% | 25.67% | 47.8% |
Both teams to score 51.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% | 52.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% | 73.94% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.49% | 34.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% | 21.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.91% | 55.09% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |