Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
59.35% | 21.56% | 19.09% |
Both teams to score 54.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% | 42.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.85% | 65.15% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% | 14.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.39% | 41.61% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% | 36.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% | 72.91% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |