Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
