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[monks data]
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lens logo

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lens

Bellegarde (20')
T. (42'), Thomasson (42'), Sissoko (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Haidara (5'), Fofana (40')
Bade (19'), Medina (44'), Doucoure (86'), Jean (90'), Leca (90+3')

Preview: Strasbourg vs. Lens - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lens face Strasbourg on Sunday afternoon eager to keep pace with fifth-placed Marseille in the race for the final Europa League spot.

Meanwhile, Strasbourg begin the weekend sitting six points clear of the Ligue 1 relegation zone after an improved run of form in recent weeks.


Match preview

Lens head coach Franck Haise pictured in October 2020© Reuters

At the start of the season, everyone associated with Lens would have been delighted with putting together an eight-match unbeaten streak in France's top flight.

However, with five of those games ending in draws, it has left Franck Haise to resolve their defensive issues in a bid to remain on Marseille's coattails.

Despite scoring at least two goals in each of their last four outings, Lens have conceded eight goals in five matches, a return which cannot continue if they want to finish in the top five.

Paris Saint-Germain loanee Arnaud Kalimuendo has contributed a goal or assist in his last three appearances, but former Chelsea youngster Gael Kakuta has gone five games without adding to his total of 13 in the same category.

While Lens are the favourites to prevail from this contest, they suffered a 1-0 defeat in the reverse fixture on the second weekend of 2021.

Strasbourg initially struggled in the weeks after that success, collecting just two wins from nine fixtures to keep them in close proximity to the bottom three.

Nevertheless, the narrow win over Monaco earlier this month has provided Thierry Laurey's team with some breathing space as they bid to avoid a relegation scrap.

Even after losing at Rennes last weekend, the Racers have conceded just three goals in five games, a significant improvement on their return in February.

Top goalscorer Ludovic Ajorque has netted just one strike in his last seven appearances for the home team.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L

Strasbourg form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L

Lens Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Lens form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D


Team News

Strasbourg manager Thierry Laurey pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Laurey is expected to hand a start to Majeed Waris after Habib Diallo's early withdrawal in the last match.

Barring any more fitness issues, the rest of the Strasbourg XI could stay the same.

Haise is likely to take a similar approach to his Lens team, although changes in defensive areas cannot be ruled out.

Providing that the visitors stick with a back three, Steven Fortes may be recalled at the expense of Facundo Medina.

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Kawashima; Guilbert, Kone, Mitrovic, Caci; Sissoko, Aholou, Bellegarde; Thomasson; Waris, Ajorque

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Bade, Fortes; Doucoure; Clauss, Cahuzac, Fofana, Haidara; Sotoca, Kalimuendo


SM words green background

We say: Strasbourg 1-2 Lens

Despite their narrow setback last weekend, Strasbourg will be confident of earning at least a share of the spoils. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the visitors, who will not need encouragement to push for all three points as they continue their quest for an unlikely European place.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:439831:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7971:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lens

Strasbourg
23.8%
Draw
4.8%
Lens
71.4%
21
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8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
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