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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.26% ( -2.7) | 27.64% ( -0.06) | 37.1% ( 2.76) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.09% ( 0.31) | 56.91% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( 0.25) | 77.82% ( -0.25) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( -1.5) | 30.66% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -1.81) | 66.91% ( 1.81) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( 1.9) | 29.52% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 2.25) | 65.54% ( -2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |