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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Doncaster Rovers

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Doncaster

Umerah (38'), McDonald (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faulkner (67')
Molyneux (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 0-2 Doncaster Rovers

Hartlepool have made a really disappointing start to the season and confidence is surely at a low point, whereas Doncaster are only looking up as they aim for the playoffs this season. Despite Hartlepool's decent home record, their winless run this season looks set to continue against a buoyant Doncaster. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
35.26% (-2.698 -2.7) 27.64% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 37.1% (2.759 2.76)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (0.311 0.31)56.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (0.249 0.25)77.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-1.503 -1.5)30.66% (1.503 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-1.813 -1.81)66.91% (1.811 1.81)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (1.895 1.9)29.52% (-1.895 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (2.252 2.25)65.54% (-2.251 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 35.26%
    Doncaster Rovers 37.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.396 0.4)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.597 0.6)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.318 0.32)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.37 0.37)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.1%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Doncaster

Hartlepool United
22.6%
Draw
22.6%
Doncaster Rovers
54.8%
31
Head to Head
May 6, 2017 5.30pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Doncaster
Rodney (74', 83')
Magnay (82')
Williams (31')
McCullough (36'), McSheffrey (85'), Wright (95')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oct 13, 2012 3pm
Jan 29, 2008 3pm
Doncaster
2-0
Hartlepool
Lockwood (54'), Wellens (34')

Porter (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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