Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.