Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.27%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
10.16% | 17.76% | 72.08% |
Both teams to score 44.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.1% | 44.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.74% | 67.26% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.1% | 84.9% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% | 11.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.56% | 35.45% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 3.83% 2-1 @ 2.89% 2-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.14% Total : 10.16% | 1-1 @ 8.42% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.76% | 0-2 @ 13.5% 0-1 @ 12.27% 0-3 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.27% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 5.45% 1-4 @ 3.74% 0-5 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.49% Total : 72.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |