Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
