MX23RW : Monday, January 27 16:52:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 27
Sep 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Wellington (84')
Nara (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Izumi (26')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 2 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
37.3% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 33.44% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)32.36% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (-0.104 -0.1)68.87% (0.105 0.11)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.046000000000006 0.05)34.92% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)71.66% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 37.3%
    Nagoya Grampus 33.43%
    Draw 29.26%
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 8am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
Sato (65' pen.)
Mae (19'), Maejima (43')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 11am
Gameweek 28
Avispa Fukuoka
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
May 25, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Aug 22, 2021 10am
Gameweek 25
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4am
Gameweek 1
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Mateus (4', 55')
rhs 2.0
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