J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Avispa Fukuoka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
39.3% ( 0.13) | 28.14% ( 0.05) | 32.56% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.97% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.91% ( -0.22) | 59.08% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% ( -0.18) | 79.54% ( 0.18) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.03) | 29.28% ( 0.04) |