J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
Cerezo3 - 1Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Friday, August 18 at 11.30am in J1 League
Friday, August 18 at 11.30am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
39.43% ( 0.02) | 27.45% ( -0) | 33.11% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.13% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( 0.01) | 77.45% ( -0.01) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( 0.02) | 27.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( 0.02) | 63.56% ( -0.02) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.16% ( -0.01) | 31.84% ( 0) |