MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 12:19:15| >> :600:48119208:48119208:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final
Jul 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Masafi Stadium
Panama national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Panama

Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Mexico 1-0 Panama

 Honestly, this match could go either way, as these two teams have probably been the most consistent at the 2023 Gold Cup, but it seems as though being under-the-radar heading into this competition has served Mexico well, while the pressure of potentially being the first side from Central America to win this tournament may be too much for Los Canaleros to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawPanama
59.29% (-0.109 -0.11) 23.81% (0.207 0.21) 16.9% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.747 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.904 -0.9)55.13% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.749 -0.75)76.38% (0.749 0.75)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.374 -0.37)18.37% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.638 -0.64)49.49% (0.638 0.64)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.99% (-0.665 -0.66)46.01% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (-0.521 -0.52)81.72% (0.52 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 59.29%
    Panama 16.9%
    Draw 23.8%
MexicoDrawPanama
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 12.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.9%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
68.1%
Draw
10.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
21.3%
47
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
> Preview
Jul 23, 2015 2am
Semi-Finals
Panama
1-2
Mexico
Torres (56')
Godoy (3'), Nurse (78'), Pimentel (83'), Machado (88'), Cooper (90'), Torres (103'), Cummings (107')
Tejada (24')
Guardado (90' pen., 105')
Vela (3'), Herrera (54'), Aguilar (90'), Orozco (94')
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