MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:32:29| >> :600:45798002:45798002:
Haiti national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 3am UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Mexico national football team

Haiti
1 - 3
Mexico

Jean Jacques (78')
Pierrot (16')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin (46'), Ade (56' og.), Gimenez (83')
Sanchez (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Haiti and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico143
2Haiti113
3Qatar1-10
4Honduras1-40

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico143
2Haiti113
3Qatar1-10
4Honduras1-40

We said: Haiti 1-2 Mexico

 The Haitians showed great attacking quality and looked relatively cohesive despite introducing several newcomers to the lineup in their opening fixture. However, Mexico seem to be in much higher spirits under new management, have a great track record against Haiti and have shown the ability to come through in these group-stage encounters, all of that to say we are giving them a slight edge on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Haiti win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
HaitiDrawMexico
19.46% (0.371 0.37) 25.42% (0.111 0.11) 55.13% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (0.447 0.45)44.36% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (0.361 0.36)80.42% (-0.358 -0.36)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.179 -0.18)20.94% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.282 -0.28)53.67% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 19.46%
    Mexico 55.12%
    Draw 25.41%
HaitiDrawMexico
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 4.8% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.07% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.46%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 14.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 11.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-3 @ 5.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.12%

How you voted: Haiti vs Mexico

Haiti
26.5%
Draw
10.2%
Mexico
63.3%
49
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2019 3am
Semi-Finals
Haiti
0-1
Mexico

Alceus (14')
Jimenez (93' pen.)
Moreno (83'), Rodriguez (89')
rhs 2.0
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