Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Gil Vicente and Penafiel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Porto vs. Gil Vicente
Sunday, August 11 at 1am in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 11 at 1am in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Penafiel
Thursday, January 11 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, January 11 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Penafiel |
| 53.75% | 24.27% | 21.97% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
