FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe2 - 4Bristol Rovers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Crewe are in excellent form and have proven difficult to beat over the past two months, even against sides in the division above. With Mangan potentially coming to the end of his spell in caretaker charge of Bristol Rovers, seeing them into the third round would be a huge achievement after a more-than-respectable set of results in charge, but this looks like it could go to a replay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
27.1% ( 0.01) | 23.39% ( 0) | 49.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
