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Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Newcastle logo

Birmingham
vs.
Newcastle

Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round clash between Birmingham City and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Wrexham vs. Birmingham
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Southampton vs. Newcastle
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 23.38% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 0-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNewcastle United
53.29%23.33%23.38%
Both teams to score 55.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84%45.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5%67.51%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05%46.95%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03%69.97%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 53.29%
    Newcastle United 23.39%
    Draw 23.33%
Birmingham CityDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Jan 18, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Newcastle
3-1
Birmingham
Ritchie (9' pen., 92'), Gouffran (35')
Tiote (69')
Cotterill (71')
Legzdins (9'), Shotton (34'), Brown (87')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
4-0
Birmingham
Gayle (18', 24', 77'), Gouffran (47')
Ritchie (59'), Hayden (75')

Tesche (32')
May 7, 2011 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Birmingham
Taylor (43'), Ameobi (36' pen.)
Tiote (90')
Bowyer (45')
Bowyer (73'), Jiranek (76'), Larsson (90'), Jerome (90')
Ridgewell (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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