Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul CPTF
Moldova3 - 2Poland
Nicolaescu (48', 79'), Baboglo (85')
Baboglo (51'), Nicolaescu (81'), Railean (90'), Reabciuk (90+2')
Baboglo (51'), Nicolaescu (81'), Railean (90'), Reabciuk (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milik (12'), Lewandowski (34')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Moldova
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Moldova | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Germany
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Moldova | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 2 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Moldova 0-1 Poland
Moldova have clearly tightened things up a little since appointing Clescenco, with their goalless draw against Czech Republic in March showing they are not the pushovers they have been in previous qualifying campaigns. However, Poland should be full of confidence after defeating Germany on Friday, and we can envisage another tight victory for them to bolster their hopes of claiming a top two spot in Group E. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Poland |
23.08% ( -20.85) | 24.4% ( 2.7) | 52.51% ( 18.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( -18.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
