International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Moldova1 - 2Azerbaijan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Moldova 0-1 Azerbaijan
It is hard to envisage many goals being scored between two limited outfits, but we expect Azerbaijan to edge a tight encounter. The visitors are playing at a higher Nations League level for a reason, with their superior international ranking suggesting that they should be able to beat Moldova. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Azerbaijan |
43.33% ( -0.01) | 24.13% ( 0) | 32.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
