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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Azerbaijan
2 - 0
Belarus

Madatov (76'), Seydayev (90+3')
Madatov (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

Last Six:
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Slovakia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Belarus

Last Six:
Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Azerbaijan 1-0 Belarus

 As alluded to above, this looks set to be a tight Group C3 encounter on Monday evening, between two sides in desperate need for the points following poor runs of form. Confidence is likely to be low in both camps, particularly in the final thirds of the pitch, so goals are expected to be at a premium, with home advantage perhaps proving pivotal for Azerbaijan to nick all three points by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawBelarus
35.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.37% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 40.01% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.91% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (0.131 0.13)42.82% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.13 0.13)65.22% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.061000000000007 0.06)23.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.088000000000001 0.09)57.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.069000000000003 0.07)21.47% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (0.105 0.1)54.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 35.62%
    Belarus 40.01%
    Draw 24.37%
AzerbaijanDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Belarus

Azerbaijan
43.6%
Draw
26.7%
Belarus
29.7%
101
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League C3
Belarus
0-0
Azerbaijan

Volkov (18'), Malkevich (31'), Khadarkevich (35'), Ebong (59')

Hakim oglu Huseynov (52'), Salahli (71'), Alasgarov (87'), Qarayev (87')
Aliyev (84')
Jun 2, 2021 5pm
Belarus
1-2
Azerbaijan
Skavysh (56')
Volodko (26'), Ebong (61')
Huseynov (73'), Seydayev (90+1')
Mahmudov (40'), Medvedev (53'), Qarayev (75'), Mustafayev (83'), Isaev (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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