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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovakia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Slovakia
1 - 2
Azerbaijan

Jirka (90+3' pen.)
Jirka (57'), Benes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dadasov (44'), Haghverdi (90+5')
Richard (19'), Mahammadaliyev (66'), Seydiyev (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League

Azerbaijan

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-0 Belarus
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan

 Slovakia's players are likely to be more motivated than usual given that they are playing in front of their new manager for the first time. Azerbaijan are rarely thrashed, but they are regularly beaten, and we can not envisage much else in Trnava on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawAzerbaijan
56.26% (-0.163 -0.16) 23.31% (0.132 0.13) 20.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (-0.506 -0.51)48.45% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (-0.463 -0.46)70.58% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)17.03% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (-0.424 -0.42)47.17% (0.423 0.42)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98% (-0.259 -0.26)38.02% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.251 -0.25)74.79% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 56.26%
    Azerbaijan 20.43%
    Draw 23.3%
SlovakiaDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Azerbaijan

Slovakia
86.0%
Draw
7.5%
Azerbaijan
6.5%
107
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 5pm
League C3
Azerbaijan
0-1
Slovakia

Richard (19')
Weiss (81')
De Marco (74'), Satka (87'), Bero (90+3'), Weiss (90+6')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
Group E
Slovakia
2-0
Azerbaijan
Bozenik (19'), Hamsik (86')
Haraslin (62'), Skriniar (82')

Silvestre (45'), Huseynov (45'), Khalilzada (88')
Jun 11, 2019 5pm
Group E
Azerbaijan
1-5
Slovakia
Sheydaev (29')
Krivotsyuk (70')
Lobotka (8'), Kucka (27'), Hamsik (30', 57'), Hancko (85')
rhs 2.0
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