Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
