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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brann Stadion
St Mirren logo

Brann
3 - 1
St Mirren

Soltvedt (6'), Myhre (85'), Heggebo (88')
Finne (52'), Baardsen Pedersen (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iacovitti (74')
Idowu (56'), Taylor (58'), Smyth (72'), Gogic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between SK Brann and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SK Brann

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Brann
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

St Mirren

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: SK Brann 2-0 St Mirren (SK Brann win 3-1 on aggregate)

 While St Mirren were able to end their home leg on level terms, it was the Norwegian outfit who had the better of that contest, and with home advantage on Thursday, we see Brann being too strong and advancing with a victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 11.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
SK BrannDrawSt Mirren
71.91% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04) 16.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 11.45% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.8% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.88% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.73% (0.0019000000000009 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (0.070999999999998 0.07)41.94% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.38% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 71.91%
    St Mirren 11.45%
    Draw 16.64%
SK BrannDrawSt Mirren
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 71.91%
1-1 @ 7.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.64%
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 11.45%

How you voted: Brann vs St Mirren

SK Brann
88.7%
Draw
7.5%
St Mirren
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7.45pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
St Mirren
1-1
Brann
Olusanya (90')
Fraser (8'), Mandron (36'), Balcombe (48'), Taylor (66'), Gogic (82'), Olusanya (85')
Myhre (75')
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