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PAOK
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Marseille

PAOK
0 - 1
Marseille


Douglas (66'), Schwab (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Payet (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: PAOK 1-3 Marseille (Marseille win 5-2 on aggregate)

PAOK should come out firing to overturn the deficit, but that could ultimately be to their detriment as the visitors have the quality to punish them on the break. While we fancy the Greek outfit to grab a goal, we see Sampaoli's side triumphing again and progressing with a dominant aggregate win, even without the Argentinian on the touchline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawMarseille
39.73%24.71%35.56%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59%44.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22%66.78%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24%55.76%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 39.73%
    Marseille 35.56%
    Draw 24.7%
PAOKDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.56%

How you voted: PAOK vs Marseille

PAOK
27.7%
Draw
11.4%
Marseille
60.8%
166
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-1
PAOK
Gerson (13'), Payet (45')
Gerson (76'), Sampaoli (85'), Kamara (90'), Dieng (90+4')
Gerson (90+4')
El Kaddouri (48')
Biseswar (73'), Kurtic (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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