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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
38.15% ( 0.15) | 24.44% ( -0.03) | 37.41% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% ( 0.17) | 42.99% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( 0.17) | 65.39% ( -0.17) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% ( 0.15) | 22.46% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% ( 0.23) | 56% ( -0.23) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( 0.02) | 22.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( 0.02) | 56.56% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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