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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
71.16% ( 0.09) | 16.68% ( 0.1) | 12.15% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.99% ( -1.04) | 34.01% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.12% ( -1.19) | 55.88% ( 1.19) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.55% ( -0.24) | 8.45% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.67% ( -0.59) | 29.33% ( 0.59) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.43% ( -1.01) | 39.57% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.74% ( -0.95) | 76.26% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 71.15% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.68% | 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
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