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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
21.52% ( 0.36) | 21.85% ( 0.14) | 56.64% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( -0.19) | 40.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( -0.2) | 63.04% ( 0.2) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.47% ( 0.22) | 32.53% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.94% ( 0.25) | 69.06% ( -0.24) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.8% ( -0.22) | 14.2% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.08% ( -0.43) | 41.92% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |