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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
36.77% ( -1.42) | 24.47% ( 0.02) | 38.76% ( 1.4) |
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.13) | 43.2% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.13) | 65.6% ( 0.12) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( -0.79) | 23.27% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -1.17) | 57.2% ( 1.17) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( 0.66) | 22.25% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( 0.98) | 55.68% ( -0.98) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |