Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
