Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
