Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
