Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Roda JC win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.