Bragantino

2 - 1

Sportivo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.