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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
1 - 1
Catolica

Liza (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zampedri (77')
Orellana (26'), Rebolledo (72'), Zampedri (80')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Universidad Catolica

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Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawUniversidad Catolica
42.81%23.28%33.91%
Both teams to score 63.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09%37.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83%60.17%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85%18.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87%49.13%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13%55.87%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 42.81%
    Universidad Catolica 33.91%
    Draw 23.27%
Sporting CristalDrawUniversidad Catolica
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 42.81%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2022 11.15pm
Catolica
2-1
Cristal
Nunez (45+2'), Zampedri (90+2' pen.)
Zampedri (30'), Valencia (69'), Astaburuaga (77'), Paz (83')
Loyola (73')
Castillo (32'), Avila (41'), Gonzales (57'), Loyola (90+1')
Tavara (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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