Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
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