Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Tachira3 - 2Olimpia
Emanuel Gomez Benites (16'), Gondola (57'), Trejo (80')
Jesus Cova Sanchez (29'), Camacho (35'), Flores (45'), Antonio Fernandez Jimenez (82'), Luis Granados (90')
Jesus Cova Sanchez (29'), Camacho (35'), Flores (45'), Antonio Fernandez Jimenez (82'), Luis Granados (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sosa Acosta (14'), Torres (76')
Silva (35'), Ortiz (41'), Eduardo Recalde (79'), Fernando Caceres Maciel (80')
Silva (51')
Silva (35'), Ortiz (41'), Eduardo Recalde (79'), Fernando Caceres Maciel (80')
Silva (51')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Tachira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Olimpia |
| 48.36% | 25.87% | 25.76% |
| Both teams to score 49.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
