Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno0 - 2Fluminense
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fluminense |
| 31.01% | 25.81% | 43.18% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
