Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno1 - 0Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Alianza Lima |
50.25% ( -4.05) | 25.78% ( 1.02) | 23.97% ( 3.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
