MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:27:53| >> :600:20377477:20377477:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 3
Herediano

Isais (5'), Angulo (45')
Isais (78')
Isais (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rojas (57'), Rodriguez (62'), Canales (84')
Rubio (42')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Toluca and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

Herediano

All competitions
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawHerediano
55.33% (0.362 0.36) 21.87% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 22.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.11 0.11)14.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.217 0.22)41.74% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.253 -0.25)30.56% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.299 -0.3)66.79% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.33%
    Herediano 22.79%
    Draw 21.87%
TolucaDrawHerediano
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 11pm
First Round 1st Leg
Herediano
1-2
Toluca
Vega (88')
Galo (66')
Jairo Ruiz (10')
Pereira (16'), Morales (59')
Arteaga (36'), Belmonte (45+2'), Baeza (73')
rhs 2.0
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