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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Bristol City |
66.53% ( 0.23) | 19.99% ( -0.03) | 13.48% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.51% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( -0.3) | 46.21% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( -0.28) | 68.51% ( 0.28) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.03) | 12.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( -0.05) | 39.5% ( 0.05) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.61% ( -0.49) | 45.39% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.75% ( -0.39) | 81.24% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Bristol City |
2-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 66.52% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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