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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.47% ( -0.26) | 24.36% | 28.17% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% ( 0.16) | 45.69% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% ( 0.15) | 68.01% ( -0.16) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.04) | 19.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.07) | 51.13% ( 0.07) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( 0.27) | 29.81% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( 0.33) | 65.88% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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