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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Boavista

Benfica
2 - 0
Boavista

Seferovic (42', 52')
Weigl (29'), Taarabt (39'), Jesus (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Awaziem (8')

Preview: Benfica vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Benfica will be looking to break back into the top three of the Primeira Liga table on Saturday, when they welcome Boavista to the Estadio da Luz.

As Aguias come into this game having won their last two league matches, while Boavista recorded a crucial victory of their own last time out, beating Famalicao to move out of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Last time out, Benfica travelled to Belenenses with the hope of recording a third consecutive victory in all competitions.

They succeeded with that aim, as they were fired to a 3-0 victory by a Haris Seferovic brace and Lucas Verissimo's first goal for the club.

Before that, Jorge Jesus's side recorded consecutive 2-0 wins, firstly beating Rio Ave in league action thanks to a Seferovic goal and a Pizzi strike.

They then defeated Estoril Praia in the second leg of their Taca de Portugal semi-final tie to advance to the final with a 5-1 aggregate scoreline, thanks to second-leg goals from Goncalo Ramos and Luca Waldschmidt.

The side from Lisbon seem to have turned a corner since the inconsistent run which saw them exit the Europa League and drop to fourth in the top flight, as they look to break back into the top three where they previously sat.

As Aguias' strength has definitely been in defence this campaign, with only league leaders Sporting Lisbon conceding fewer than the 17 that Jesus's men have shipped from 22 games.

That has been reflected in the last few games, with the 39-time Primeira Liga champions keeping three consecutive clean sheets, helping them to see out those recent victories.

Jesus will be looking to build on that strong defensive form in this game, as they go in search of a fourth consecutive clean sheet and fourth straight win on Saturday.

However, in their way stand a Boavista side who will have renewed confidence after an eye-catching victory last time out.

Jesualdo Ferreira pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Jesualdo Ferreira's side hosted fellow strugglers Famalicao last Saturday, with As Panteras sitting at the foot of the table.

However, they secured a crucial win as goals from Ricardo Mangas, Paulinho and Sebastian Perez fired them to an impressive 3-0 victory, moving them off the bottom of the table and out of the drop zone.

Ferreira's men have now picked up an impressive tally of seven points from their last four league outings, also beating Moreirense 1-0 and securing a commendable 2-2 draw with third-placed Porto.

As a result, As Panteras have pulled themselves right back into contention to survive this season, currently sitting in 14th spot.

However, they do remain just two points above Famalicao in the automatic relegation zone, meaning Boavista could be quickly pulled back into the bottom three if they fail to continue their improved run.

Extending the run will not be easy though, as they host a Benfica side who have started to get back into form, and will be in search of another convincing victory on Saturday.

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Benfica form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates with a teammate after scoring against Rangers on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Benfica are expected to remain without Jan Vertonghen, as he is unlikely to be risked while carrying a thigh injury, especially as Lucas Verissimo has shown that he is more than competent at the heart of the Benfica defence.

Vertonghen is joined on the sidelines by forward Darwin Nunez, who remains out with a hamstring injury.

In his absence, Haris Seferovic and Luca Waldschmidt have led the line for Benfica.

Andre Almeida also remains out for As Aguias, with the full-back carrying a long-term ligament injury.

Helton Leite has been preferred to Odysseas Vlachodimos in the Benfica goal in important games recently, and the Brazilian is expected to start again here.

Boavista will remain without midfielder Miguel Reisinho, who has been absent since November with a ligament rupture.

Their midfield will also take another hit, as Benfica loanee Nuno Santos is not eligible to play against his parent club.

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Leite; Goncalves, Verissimo, Otamendi, Grimaldo; Silva, Pizzi, Weigl, Everton; Waldschmidt, Seferovic

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Leonardo; Cannon, Devenish, Awaziem, Mangas; Paulinho, Garcia, Santos, Sauer; Gomes, Elis


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 2-0 Boavista

We see Benfica extending their good run of form with another victory here, thanks to improvements in both their defensive solidity and attacking threat.

While Boavista have vastly improved in recent weeks, we see this being a step too far for As Panteras, and expect them to fall short at the Estadio da Luz.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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