Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.