Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.