Vitebsk

2 - 1

Dnepr Mogilev

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.