Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 30, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield3 - 1Gimnasia
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, January 14 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, January 14 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, October 23 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, October 23 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
49.43% ( -0.33) | 27.69% ( 0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.35% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
