Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia1 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Gimnasia
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Independiente
Thursday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | River Plate |
27.26% ( 0.14) | 25.16% ( 0.15) | 47.58% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
