Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.